According to a study carried out by the Institut Pasteur, to hope for a return to normal in France, 90% of adults would need to be vaccinated against Covid-19.
90% of adults vaccinated
If it is estimated that to achieve collective immunity through vaccination, 80% of the population must be vaccinated, for a simple return to normal, a study by the Pasteur Institute estimates that it is necessary to count on a immunization of 90% of adults. Thus, in France, where there are more than 65 million inhabitants, 49 million of them are aged 20 and over. To be able to achieve a return to normal, it would be necessary to vaccinate a little more than 44 million adults..
The study also highlights that if France manages to achieve this very ambitious goal of 90% of vaccinated adults, the country will be able to do without health restrictions from autumn 2021. However, we must also lower the threshold for hospitalizations below the 1,000 mark.
An ambitious percentage of vaccinated
The study carried out by the Institut Pasteur recognizes that this high percentage of vaccination is ambitious. Indeed, the percentage seems complicated to reach because of two factors. The first, the reluctance of the French to be vaccinated, accentuated by the rumors surrounding the AstraZeneca vaccine for example. And the second, the slow delivery of vaccine doses.
However, the study shows that it is necessary to continue to prioritize the vaccination of people at risk. Thus, the elderly and those with co-morbidities should continue to be given priority. Prioritization could be less drastic if a higher number of doses of Covid vaccines were delivered by pharmaceutical groups.
The Ministry of Health estimates that as of April 10, 2021, 10,757,542 people received a first dose of vaccine or about 15% of the French population. But only 3,687,416 people have benefited from the two necessary injections so far.