Competition between the US and China is forecast to expand into new areas in 2021, further complicating relations between the world’s two largest economies.
|Eurasia Group predicts that US-China competition is likely to escalate on the green technology front. Photo: AFP|
Green development race
The increase in US-China tensions is one of the top 10 risks recently announced by the Eurasia Group political risk consulting company in its 2021 annual report.
Leon Levy, senior analyst at Eurasia Group predicts that US-China competition is likely to escalate on the green technology front. In particular, US President-elect Joe Biden, who is expected to take office on January 20, always considers the fight against climate change one of the big priorities.
“We can see increased competition between the US and China in the green energy sector. This opens up a whole new front that we have not seen under the administration of President Donald Trump over the years. pass, “added Mr. Levy.
The annual risk report published by Eurasia Group earlier this week rated China emerging as a leader in the race to develop clean energy and technology, including batteries, solar and wind power. Beijing has “scored people’s diplomacy” and sought to overtake the US in green development by pledging to be carbon neutral by 2060.
In contrast, climate change issues have been pushed aside by the United States under President Donald Trump, most notably through withdrawal from the Paris Agreement on climate change. In addition, the Trump administration also regularly ignores concerns about climate change.
Meanwhile, President-elect Joe Biden shows the opposite when giving priority to issues related to climate change.
Eurasia Group predicts that the US will spend large investments to pull energy supply chains back to the country; seeking to “defame” China because of investments in coal abroad; and rallying allies to put pressure on China on climate change and clean energy issues.
There will be “diplomatic war”
In addition to green technology, Mr. Biden’s move towards the multilateral front facing China could increase the heat of US-China tensions. President-elect Biden said he would consult with traditional US allies in Europe and Asia to promote a “consistent strategy” on China. This contrasts with President Donald Trump’s unilateral attempt to pursue a tougher stance with Beijing.
In return, Biden’s strategy would create “greater rift between Beijing and its allies” and lead to “diplomatic war” between the US and China, according to Eurasia Group.
The US enlistment of allies along with the competition in technology to respond to climate change with China will increase long-term tensions and complicate US-China relations.
Eurasia Group experts said that US-China tensions, which have been heating up since President Donald Trump took office in 2017, will still be “as intense” as in 2020, even though President-elect Joe Biden takes office can help. the two sides have more “breathing space”.
But, America’s efforts to enlist allies, vaccine diplomacy, and compete in technology to respond to climate change will intensify long-term tensions and complicate US-China relations.
“Inactivity on bilateral trade and technology, the treatment of Uighurs, the issue of Hong Kong, Taiwan and the South China Sea will continue in 2021. In those disagreements, it is likely show escalating mistakes and mistakes, “warned Eurasia Group.