Russia’s trump card against China


“Faced with Biden, Putin leans a little more towards China”, headlines The echoes February 5. It is worrying, because it is probably true. However, if China gets its hands on Siberia, using its formidable ability to create communication routes that require gigantic works, and to economically boost the territories thus opened up, the center of gravity of power on our planet will be will move: Europe and the United States, democracies rich in know-how, will not stand up to a geographic and demographic giant whose technological skills are already almost equal to theirs.

Europe must make alliance with Russia

Of course, Putin is not a big supporter of democracy, but between the Chinese regime and the Russian regime, there is no picture: he is less distant than Xi Jinping from the democratic ideal. Xi holds his “subjects” with an iron fist, and prevents foreigners from putting their nose in Chinese affairs, while Putin is content to maintain certain ways of doing things that were instilled in him in the KGB.

In Davos, the head of the Kremlin made an opening towards the West, notably showing his desire to consolidate the policy of limiting nuclear arsenals. Admittedly, he is not gentle with Navalny, but in comparison with the absorption of Hong Kong by Communist China, and what is likely to happen for Taiwan, there is no picture. If Taiwan is brought to heel like Hong Kong has been, what will be the next domino? South Korea ? While waiting for a snack from Japan?

Complementarity of Russia and Central and Western Europe

Russia does not need to expand its living space: it has plenty to spare. What it needs is technology and people to develop the vastness of Siberia, which will benefit from climate change. To be able to work there, it has every interest in maintaining good relations with the European Union, other European countries, and African countries, where Europeans are well established – although we should be concerned about this: China is very enterprising there.

Avoid Chinese colonization of the African continent

Formerly colonizers of a large part of the African continent, where they did not always behave well, but where they still eradicated slavery and brought a lot of education and technology, the European nations, especially Great Britain , France, Spain and Portugal, are well placed to play a decisive card on a global scale: to help control an African demographic explosion which is making the indispensable evolution of lifestyles and production very difficult.

Help reduce an excessive birth rate

With currently 1.3 billion inhabitants, starting from 100 million in 1900, Africa has been the scene of a prodigious demographic phenomenon. But to continue on this momentum would raise a formidable planetary problem, as indeed the very rapid growth of the populations of India, Pakistan and some other Asian countries. The problem therefore arises: is it a Chinese-style totalitarianism that will bring Africa’s population growth rate back to an acceptable level, or a policy more respectful of human rights?

Of course, the European countries have already helped the African populations to begin the demographic transition which is essential so that their future is not tragic: from more than 6 in 1960, the number of children per woman has now fallen to 4.4. When it comes to efficiency, the steamroller of Chinese Communism would certainly be superior. But it is women, men and children that we are talking about, not herds of zebus! Isn’t our duty as Westerners to assume our responsibilities?

We are the ones who made this demographic explosion possible by pacifying, educating, providing techniques, sometimes also brutalizing: it is up to us to support Africans in the difficult passage of 4.4 children per woman to about half. Part of the road has already been covered: the rate peaked at more than 6 around 1960, so it has already fallen quite a bit, we must persevere! While helping Russia to somewhat boost its birth rate, which is so low today (1.5 children per woman).

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